joxstrikes.JPG

Yiu & Purton victories tell different stories

Our final ratings for the jockeys have more or less reflected the final 2019-20 championship standings as well, but that wasn't the case amongst the trainers.

Ricky Yiu's maiden title after almost 25 years as a trainer in Hong Kong was well deserved - he led almost from the outset of the season - but it came about with him outstripping anything he had been able to do in the past. 

As a result, John Size, who put in the worst figures of his Hong Kong career, remained our top-rated trainer, perhaps a surprise to many but propped up by a long history of performing at a much higher level. 

It is an unusual scenario as our ratings do normally tend to be a good pointer to finishing positions, but, by another measure, Yiu has outperformed expectations even within this particular season. Using market expectations for his indiviual runners, the betting markets would have expected Yiu to finish sixth but his runners all year punched above expectations.

It's an outcome to underscore the nature of our rating system - an unexpected overperformance is regarded with some suspicion, a poor effort from a proven high quality player is not enough to drag also . For our money, the favourite for the 2020-21 trainers' title remains Size.

The jockeys' championship was less unpredictable and the head to head fizzled when Moreira missed two of the last 3 meetings through suspension.

But the final ratings point to another Purton, Moreira showdown in the next season. Moreira's fortunes are tied closely to Size's, so, given we expect the trainer to have a much better season next time, Moreira will make Purton work hard if he is to retain the title.

 

Final 2019-20 PREMIERSHIP tables, click here for jockeys and here for trainers.

 

(Note, apprentice jockey ratings reflect performances with allowance "built in". As they lose the claim and compete on a more equal footing, we expect their rating to deteriorate.)

​These numbers are updated regularly, many will change considerably through the season. They are designed to reflect current form but with past figures also putting a brake on hot-streak performers or lifting up a long-term quality player having a quiet run.

trainerstrikes.JPG

Hong Kong

©2017 by The HK Set. Proudly created with Wix.com