Gap keeps widening for the Magic Man

Joao Moreira has been at the head of our jockey ratings for almost all of the current season so it's no surprise he continues to be the frontrunner but what has been unexpected is the widening of the gap between him and incumbent champion Zac Purton.

What has been a minor dry spell for Purton is turning into a real problem, with the Australian rider having just 8 wins from his last 100 mounts - it has been rare for him to dip much below 20 on that metric during the last five years.

Interestingly enough, despite his split with leading trainer Caspar Fownes, supply does not appear to be the problem.

Purton's mounts for all of the 2019-20 season averaged odds of 6.25, this season's rides have averaged 6.22, but Purton is winning well below the market expectations - something which also has been rare in recent seasons.

Moreira now has a 4 point lead over Purton in our ratings and is on track to turn this into a one horse race.

On the trainers' ratings, John Size continues to look the one to beat, despite Caspar Fownes' big start and his much better returns at Sha Tin so far this season.

We are now in what is traditionally Size's best time of year from November to March, so look for the 11-time champion to put the pressure on Fownes' lead in the coming months.

(Note, apprentice jockey ratings reflect performances with allowance "built in". As they lose the claim and compete on a more equal footing, we expect their rating to deteriorate unless they prove to be high class riders.)

​These numbers are updated regularly, many will change considerably through the season. They are designed to reflect current form but with past figures also putting a brake on hot-streak performers or lifting up a long-term quality player having a quiet run.


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